Assembly Elections : Jats Changed The
THAKEN FROM CHANDIGARH. The voters of Haryana have shown a complete rejection to Modism and
state BJP’s 75 plus slogan in recently held Assembly elections by keeping the
party even below the required Pass mark.
BJP could get only 40 seats in the 90 member house in triangular fight
with Congress (31) and Jannayak Janta Party (JJP-10) despite Prime Minister Narender Modi’s 7 rallies in
the state during the election campaign ,
rather a negative response was reflected in results on the seats of
Sirsa ,Rewari , Ellenabad and other
adjoining seats where Modi addressed the rallies . Over enthused Modi’s mordant,
spirited, warm blooded and fiery speeches could gather no moss.
However the central leaders and the state Chief
Minister , Manohar Lal Khattar left no stone unturned to win the game and
organized BJP President Amit
Shah’s 5 Rallies , Working National President J P Nadda’s 3 Rallies , Defence Minister Raj Nath Singh’s
9 Rallies , Union Minister Nitin Gadkari’s one Rally , Manohar Lal Khattar’s 77
Rallies , Actress Hema Malini’s 9 Rallies and Sunny Deol’s 4 Rallies in
addition to 7 rallies of Prime Minister Modi . All these star campaigners
highlighted and hurled the issues of Nationalism, Balakot Airstrike and
abrogation of Article 370 to deviate the mood of Haryanvi voters from regional
issues raised by the opposition, but all in vein. BJP slipped downward by 22%
vote share within six months of Lok Sabha polls.
In May 2019
Lok Sabha elections, floating on the Modi wave, BJP won all the ten Lok Sabha
seats in the state with huge margin and a vote share of 58%, but now in the present
assembly elections BJP could get only 36 % votes. Modi’s howling over Pakistan
and also showing dreams to the farmers of Haryana of bringing water to their
fields by stopping the overflowing river waters to Pakistan just after the
Haryana win couldn’t stop the slippage of vote bank of BJP. The opposition
deflated the river water claim of Modi by asking, “Who stopped Modi during his
previous five-year tenure from 2014 to 19, when the BJP was ruling both in
centre as well as in the Haryana State?”
Chief Minister Mr. Manohar Lal Khattar
claimed of his government’s merit base recruitment and transparent transfer
policy in his every rally, but the voters of Haryana reflected their resentment
through their mandate against the working of Khattar government by giving a
clean sweep to its ministers without considering their castes or region. Out of
ten ministers, eight lost their way to Haryana assembly including the big guns,
claiming to be the next Chief Minister, namely Rambilas Sharma, Captain
Abhimanyu and OP Dhankhar. Even Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar’s media
advisor Rajiv Jain could not succeed to publicize the positive side of Khattar
government and failed to gain the faith of voters for his minister wife Kavita Jain
from Sonipat constituency, which also reflected the unsatisfactory image and
media management work of Mr. Rajiv Jain. However, the media in the present
scenario does not react directly, but some murmuring sounds named Mr. Jain as
media administrator instead of media advisor. Other ministers, who lost the
election battle are Krishan Lal Panwar, Manish Grover, Krishan Kumar Bedi and
Karn Dev Kamboj.
gained from the slippage of BJP?
opposition party in the state, congress was a divided house with six Chief
Ministerial candidates, who remained busy in leg pulling of each other’s competitors.
Ashok Tanwar, the previous state president, believed to be the right hand and
faithful soldier of Rahul Gandhi, let the party to go in the sleeping mode and
the congress had to face the worst tenure. Just before the assembly elections
after changing the crown back from Rahul Gandhi to Sonia Gandhi , Haryana state
leadership was also changed and responsibility was given to Rajya Sabha Member
Kumari Selja and former Chief Minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda to revive the
party. Despite of short time alarm, the duo managed to enhance its number of
seats from 15 to 31. As their main
concentration remained limited to Rohtak
and surrounding districts, they could not plough the fields of Bhiwani, Hisar,
fatehabad and Sirsa districts properly ; due to which despite increase in
number of seats won the vote share of congress remained almost the same in
assembly elections(28.10%) as was in Lok Sabha elections (28.42%).In May 2019
Lok Sabha elections congress with the same vote share got the lead over BJP
candidates in 11 state assembly constituencies ,but now the number increased to
31 without changing the vote percentage.
gained from the loss of BJP?
same vote share by congress and slippage of percentage of BJP raises the question,
“Who gained from the loss of BJP?” If we watch the performance of newly
raised Jannayak Janta Party (JJP) by Dushyant Chautala, a fourth-generation
representative of late Chaudhary Devi Lal, we see that this party, including
some independents, has fetched a vote share of nearly 28 % in these assembly elections.
So, it is now clear that JJP and some independents revolted from BJP have got
their major vote share from the BJP share, as JJP won 10 seats and independents
7 and others got 2 seats.
reason is behind this vote transfer?
dominant community of Haryana, had always played a major role in king making in
the state. BJP also got power in 2014, both in Lok Sabha and State Assembly,
due to involvement of Jat leaders like Birender Singh, Dharamveer Singh, OP
Dhankhar, Captain Abhimanyu and Subhash Barala. But in the changed scenario since Jats have
raised their voice for getting reservation under OBC category, the politicians
like Raj Kumar Saini, the then Member of Parliament representing BJP, started
to divide the society in Jat-Non Jat segments for their political gains.
a parallel force of original OBC castes to combat against Jats to defuse their
reservation claim and created an atmosphere of fear among these people that if
Jats get inclusion in OBC category, they will snatch their whole share and they
(original OBCs) will be cornered in a limited sphere. This was the reason
behind the fiery stir in which 30 persons lost their life and a long-lasting
division in the society occurred. BJP felt it a soothing situation, that is why
they didn’t stop Mr. Saini, the BJP MP, from his ridiculous activities. Why BJP had not taken any action against Saini?
Why he was not ousted from BJP and why party supreme commanders allowed him to
represent BJP in Lok Sabha for the whole five-year tenure?
Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar also instigated Jats by issuing statements,
which Jats felt defamatory, during his speeches at different rallies. Claimant
of ‘Haryana Ek-Haryanvi Ek’ policy, Mr. Khattar , while addressing a rally at
Balana in favour of BJP candidate and Transport Minister Krishan Lal Panwar ,
said, “ BJP has ended the JJJ system (one J stands for Jila (district), second
for Jaati (caste) and the third for Jhola (bag full of notes) of the previous
governments. We have used another J to end the corrupt system by throwing the
three Js into Johar (pond) and launched ‘Mission Merit’ to provide jobs to
youth on the basis of merit,”
speech of Khattar claiming to end one ‘J’ representing jati (Caste) gave a
firing message that Khattar is claiming to end Jat Jati through ‘J’ symbol.
Khattar’s announcement, indicating towards Chautala’s and Hooda without naming
them directly, that ‘A father –son duo is already behind bars and the second
one will go there very soon’, also irritated Jats. Such types of statements
during elections and wars always have negative effects, and that happened this
time too, giving a jolt to the BJP party. To teach a remarkable lesson to BJP,
the most of the Jats voted in favour of JJP or the Hooda supported winning
candidates or revolters from BJP, which decreased the vote percentage in favour
of BJP and increased the vote share of JJP and Congress. But seeing the soft
corner of some Jat voters in favour of Hooda candidates, the equivalent voters
from other castes changed their sides from congress and voted in favour of
other parties of their liking, which kept the vote share of congress nearly the
Minister Khattar on the first day of November held a meeting with the former
ministers in the previous Government to review the losses suffered by the BJP
in the recently concluded Assembly polls.
A discussion was held on the reasons behind the losses suffered by the party and the defeat of a majority of Ministers.
reports reveal that the defeated ministers reportedly discussed that
consolidation of the Jat votes against the party and non-polarisation of the
urban and non-Jat voters in favour of the saffron party was also behind the
non-realisation of its “Mission 75 plus”.
Now the BJP has formed the new government by clasping with its election time opponent JJP, having a strong base in Jats, so it will be a compulsion for BJP to extend an affectionate hand towards Jats, if it wants to continue in power. But time will tell till what extent the alliance goes on. Politics is a game of poly tricks and no one remains a permanent foe or friend.